Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Nosek 48.5% (+7.2%)
Offensive zone
Nosek 65.1%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 78.4%
Neutral zone
Nosek 54.9%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Stenlund
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (650)
52.0% (102)
+4.2%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
100.0% (2)
-46.8%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (312)
29.0% (31)
+22.6%
On power play, Nosek has a +46.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Stenlund shoots right. Nosek is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Nosek
Home
56.9% (483)
52.0% (50)
Away
52.5% (526)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Stenlund
Nosek
P1
54.2%
45.0%
P2
53.2%
42.0%
P3
56.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.5%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%