Kevin Stenlund vs Zakhar Bardakov
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bardakov on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bardakov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Bardakov 45.2% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 55.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 93.4%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 79.1%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Stenlund
Bardakov
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stenlund
Bardakov
Last 6: Stenlund 4-2 Bardakov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Bardakov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund
Bardakov
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bardakov
1
2
Stenlund
Bardakov
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Bardakov
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (650)
42.2% (161)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (312)
50.0% (2)
+1.6%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bardakov shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Stenlund shoots right. Bardakov is 32.1% vs right-shot opponents (53).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Bardakov
Home
56.9% (483)
48.7% (76)
Away
52.5% (526)
36.8% (87)
By Period
Stenlund
Bardakov
P1
54.2%
39.0%
P2
53.2%
39.7%
P3
56.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Bardakov
38.0%▼
42.3%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 13:20 | Neutral | Zakhar Bardakov |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:40 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 03:45 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 02:54 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 04:53 | Neutral | Zakhar Bardakov |