Kevin Stenlund vs Zakhar Bardakov
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bardakov on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bardakov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.9% vs Bardakov 45.2% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 54.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 91.7%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 83.0%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Stenlund
Bardakov
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stenlund
Bardakov
Last 6: Stenlund 4-2 Bardakov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Bardakov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund
Bardakov
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bardakov
1
2
Stenlund
Bardakov
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Bardakov
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,738)
42.2% (161)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (924)
50.0% (2)
+0.4%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bardakov shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,846).
Stenlund shoots right. Bardakov is 32.1% vs right-shot opponents (53).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Bardakov
Home
54.3% (1,873)
48.7% (76)
Away
53.8% (1,905)
36.8% (87)
By Period
Stenlund
Bardakov
P1
56.2%
39.0%
P2
53.3%
39.7%
P3
53.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Bardakov
38.0%▼
42.3%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 13:20 | Neutral | Zakhar Bardakov |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:40 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 03:45 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 02:54 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 04:53 | Neutral | Zakhar Bardakov |