Kevin Stenlund vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Girgensons 46.8% (+9.4%)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 56.7%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 68.2%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 52.6%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Stenlund
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (650)
45.1% (164)
+11.1%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
50.0% (2)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (312)
45.2% (31)
+6.4%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Stenlund shoots right. Girgensons is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Girgensons
Home
56.9% (483)
44.6% (92)
Away
52.5% (526)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Stenlund
Girgensons
P1
54.2%
44.2%
P2
53.2%
46.0%
P3
56.9%
45.1%
Final 5 min
57.5%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.2%