Kevin Stenlund vs Zemgus Girgensons

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Kevin Stenlund holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stenlund 53.9% vs Girgensons 45.4% (+8.7%)
H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Stenlund 53.1%
Defensive zone Stenlund 86.7%
Neutral zone Stenlund 73.7%
Result Kevin Stenlund favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Stenlund Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 2 (7 meetings)
5
2
Stenlund Girgensons
Last 7: Stenlund 5-2 Girgensons

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund Girgensons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund Girgensons
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
1
Stenlund Girgensons
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stenlund
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,738)
45.5% (2,718)
+9.8%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
49.1% (175)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (924)
42.2% (483)
+8.2%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +9.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,846).
Stenlund shoots right. Girgensons is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,298).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Girgensons
Home
54.3% (1,873)
45.5% (1,693)
Away
53.8% (1,905)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Stenlund
Girgensons
P1
56.2%
45.8%
P2
53.3%
44.1%
P3
53.0%
45.7%
OT
52.9%
52.5%
Final 5 min
53.4%
43.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%
59.0%
54.0%
Girgensons
58.0%
44.5%
45.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 13, 2024 3 01:37 Neutral Kevin Stenlund
Feb 27, 2024 2 11:15 Offensive Kevin Stenlund
Feb 27, 2024 2 06:10 Offensive Zemgus Girgensons
Feb 27, 2024 1 16:38 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Feb 27, 2024 1 02:59 Neutral Zemgus Girgensons
Feb 15, 2024 1 08:28 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Feb 13, 2020 3 15:34 Neutral Kevin Stenlund