Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (59.7% vs 59.7%). MacLean wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 54.2% vs Kastelic 58.1% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacLean 66.7%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 84.8%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 55.1%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
MacLean
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
MacLean
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacLean
1
0
MacLean
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
59.5% (74)
60.8% (362)
-1.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
83.3% (6)
-83.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
56.2% (146)
+43.8%
On power play, Kastelic has a +83.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. MacLean is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (30).
MacLean shoots left. Kastelic is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
MacLean
Kastelic
Home
64.3% (28)
60.3% (242)
Away
57.1% (49)
59.2% (272)
By Period
MacLean
Kastelic
P1
44.0%
58.9%
P2
78.1%
57.3%
P3
50.0%
64.0%
Final 5 min
76.9%
66.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
54.0%▼
56.5%
59.7%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 05:05 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |