Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 47.9% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacLean 84.9%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 60.5%
Neutral zone
MacLean 67.5%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
MacLean
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
MacLean
Kastelic
Last 8: MacLean 3-5 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
3
MacLean
Kastelic
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
MacLean
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacLean
2
1
MacLean
Kastelic
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (852)
57.0% (1,635)
-9.8%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
80.0% (25)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (30)
53.8% (279)
+2.9%
On power play, Kastelic has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. MacLean is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (318).
MacLean shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,445).
Home / Away
MacLean
Kastelic
Home
46.9% (429)
58.7% (904)
Away
48.4% (461)
55.2% (1,035)
By Period
MacLean
Kastelic
P1
46.4%
58.6%
P2
49.7%
56.5%
P3
46.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
54.9%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
54.0%▼
56.5%
47.6%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 05:05 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 10:18 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 14:01 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:21 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 12:50 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |