Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pederson 49.6% vs Monahan 52.5% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 56.1%
Defensive zone
Monahan 58.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 53.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Pederson
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pederson
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Pederson
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pederson
1
0
Pederson
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pederson
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (27)
53.0% (874)
-4.9%
On even strength, Monahan has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Pederson is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Pederson shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Pederson
Monahan
Home
44.4% (9)
53.8% (558)
Away
50.0% (18)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Pederson
Monahan
P1
60.0%
49.5%
P2
42.9%
54.8%
P3
40.0%
52.8%
Final 5 min
20.0%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pederson
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.1%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Lane Pederson |