Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Eller 51.9% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 90.6%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 77.8%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 85.9%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Fantilli
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Fantilli
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
3
Fantilli
Eller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
4
Fantilli
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
3
Fantilli
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
52.8% (650)
-12.1%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
69.2% (13)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
45.5% (88)
-28.8%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Eller
Home
44.1% (488)
52.6% (340)
Away
38.6% (531)
51.8% (411)
By Period
Fantilli
Eller
P1
42.0%
52.4%
P2
43.0%
54.1%
P3
39.3%
50.0%
OT
11.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
41.2%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
52.2%