Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 46.2% vs Eller 52.0% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 91.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 73.9%
Neutral zone
Point 68.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Point
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Point
Eller
Last 5: Point 1-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Point
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (582)
52.8% (742)
-6.9%
Power Play
45.6% (57)
67.6% (34)
-22.0%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
46.2% (156)
-26.2%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Point is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Point shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Point
Eller
Home
45.8% (286)
54.5% (448)
Away
45.5% (358)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Point
Eller
P1
45.9%
52.8%
P2
48.8%
50.9%
P3
40.6%
53.4%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
56.0%▲
48.5%
45.7%
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 06:06 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 04:20 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 14:08 | Defensive | Lars Eller |