Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 37.7% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 43.4% vs Eller 52.9% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 81.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 57.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 72.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Coyle
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Coyle
Eller
Last 5: Coyle 1-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Coyle
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Coyle
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (384)
53.3% (803)
-11.9%
Power Play
45.5% (66)
55.8% (86)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
50.0% (90)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Coyle is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (297).
Coyle shoots right. Eller is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Coyle
Eller
Home
46.4% (211)
52.8% (525)
Away
38.1% (247)
53.7% (454)
By Period
Coyle
Eller
P1
46.2%
53.9%
P2
39.5%
54.8%
P3
37.0%
50.9%
OT
73.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
41.9%
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2013 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 3 | 07:46 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Lars Eller |