Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McBain wins 28.8% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 41.9% vs Eller 49.5% (-15.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 74.2%
Defensive zone
McBain 72.1%
Neutral zone
McBain 69.8%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
McBain
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
McBain
Eller
Last 6: McBain 0-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
McBain
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
4
McBain
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
37.2% (86)
51.1% (786)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
17.6% (17)
43.6% (165)
-26.0%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. McBain is 28.8% vs left-shot opponents (59).
McBain shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Home / Away
McBain
Eller
Home
33.8% (68)
51.2% (510)
Away
34.3% (35)
47.8% (521)
By Period
McBain
Eller
P1
40.6%
50.7%
P2
40.5%
49.0%
P3
20.6%
48.3%
Final 5 min
35.7%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
34.0%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2022 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 1 | 05:31 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 1 | 05:19 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 1 | 02:23 | Neutral | Lars Eller |