Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Carlsson 44.6% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 51.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 80.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 62.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Eller
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Eller
Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Carlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Carlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
45.0% (695)
+11.0%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
46.4% (84)
+31.4%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
32.9% (85)
+19.0%
On power play, Eller has a +31.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Eller shoots left. Carlsson is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Eller
Carlsson
Home
52.6% (215)
42.5% (435)
Away
58.3% (307)
45.5% (429)
By Period
Eller
Carlsson
P1
54.1%
45.3%
P2
57.6%
38.7%
P3
56.2%
48.5%
Final 5 min
60.0%
38.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 08:29 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |