Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Rossi 49.7% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 75.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 59.0%
Neutral zone
Rossi 53.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Eller
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Eller
Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Eller
Rossi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
51.6% (440)
+4.4%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
35.1% (37)
+42.7%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
37.0% (27)
+14.9%
On power play, Eller has a +42.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Eller shoots left. Rossi is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Eller
Rossi
Home
52.6% (215)
50.0% (260)
Away
58.3% (307)
49.2% (244)
By Period
Eller
Rossi
P1
54.1%
53.7%
P2
57.6%
47.6%
P3
56.2%
47.4%
Final 5 min
60.0%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 05:18 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |