Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Rossi 46.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 51.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 76.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 57.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Eller
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Eller
Rossi
Last 10: Eller 6-4 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
2
Eller
Rossi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
2
Eller
Rossi
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
4
2
Eller
Rossi
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,321)
46.8% (2,180)
+4.3%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
47.1% (189)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (1,759)
34.1% (44)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Eller shoots left. Rossi is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,558).
Home / Away
Eller
Rossi
Home
51.4% (6,122)
47.8% (1,225)
Away
49.7% (6,607)
45.4% (1,188)
By Period
Eller
Rossi
P1
51.2%
47.1%
P2
50.1%
44.7%
P3
50.2%
48.2%
OT
56.7%
45.8%
Final 5 min
49.7%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 05:18 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 11:36 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:15 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:08 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 09:40 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 15:06 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 8, 2022 | OT | 01:44 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 07:56 | Defensive | Lars Eller |