Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs McTavish 49.1% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 51.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 91.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 73.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Eller
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Eller
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
47.6% (618)
+8.4%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
58.3% (103)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
33.3% (6)
+18.6%
On power play, Eller has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Eller shoots left. McTavish is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Eller
McTavish
Home
52.6% (215)
52.2% (391)
Away
58.3% (307)
45.2% (336)
By Period
Eller
McTavish
P1
54.1%
50.2%
P2
57.6%
47.7%
P3
56.2%
49.2%
Final 5 min
60.0%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 07:27 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |