Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs McTavish 48.7% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 15-4 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 55.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 84.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 61.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Eller
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
4
(19 meetings)
15
4
Eller
McTavish
Last 10: Eller 8-2 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
1
Eller
McTavish
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
7
2
Eller
McTavish
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
5
1
Eller
McTavish
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,321)
48.2% (2,790)
+2.9%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
52.8% (436)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (1,759)
34.3% (35)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Eller shoots left. McTavish is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,158).
Home / Away
Eller
McTavish
Home
51.4% (6,122)
49.8% (1,680)
Away
49.7% (6,607)
47.4% (1,581)
By Period
Eller
McTavish
P1
51.2%
50.0%
P2
50.1%
47.7%
P3
50.2%
48.4%
OT
56.7%
43.5%
Final 5 min
49.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 07:27 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 10:31 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 15:58 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 18:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 2 | 06:34 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 02:15 | Neutral | Lars Eller |