Lars Eller vs Mathew Barzal

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Lars Eller holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Eller 55.0% vs Barzal 41.9% (+15.6%)
Offensive zone Barzal 64.2%
Defensive zone Eller 71.1%
Neutral zone Barzal 50.1%
Result Lars Eller favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Eller Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Eller
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
40.9% (469)
+15.1%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
34.2% (38)
+43.6%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
28.6% (7)
+23.3%
On power play, Eller has a +43.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Eller is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Eller shoots left. Barzal is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Eller
Barzal
Home
52.6% (215)
39.2% (250)
Away
58.3% (307)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Eller
Barzal
P1
54.1%
46.3%
P2
57.6%
36.7%
P3
56.2%
38.5%
Final 5 min
60.0%
41.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%
51.5%
55.9%
Barzal
44.0%
45.0%
40.3%