Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Barzal 42.2% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 21-15 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 61.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 89.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 85.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Eller
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
15
(36 meetings)
21
15
Eller
Barzal
Last 10: Eller 5-5 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Eller
Barzal
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
8
2
Eller
Barzal
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
8
8
Eller
Barzal
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,321)
41.9% (3,571)
+9.2%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
43.4% (205)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (1,759)
42.3% (26)
+4.3%
On power play, Eller has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,587).
Eller shoots left. Barzal is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,704).
Home / Away
Eller
Barzal
Home
51.4% (6,122)
43.2% (1,901)
Away
49.7% (6,607)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Eller
Barzal
P1
51.2%
40.6%
P2
50.1%
44.6%
P3
50.2%
41.1%
OT
56.7%
27.6%
Final 5 min
49.7%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 10:15 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 04:22 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 17:40 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 04:34 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 06:47 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 11:25 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 14:32 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 00:46 | Offensive | Lars Eller |