Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Duchene 51.8% (+3.7%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 72.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 73.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 50.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Eller
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
51.1% (366)
+4.9%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
61.5% (65)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
16.7% (6)
+35.2%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +35.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Eller shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Eller
Duchene
Home
52.6% (215)
51.7% (201)
Away
58.3% (307)
52.5% (236)
By Period
Eller
Duchene
P1
54.1%
49.0%
P2
57.6%
57.1%
P3
56.2%
49.2%
Final 5 min
60.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%