Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Domi 50.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 61.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 66.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 63.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Eller
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Eller
Domi
Last 5: Eller 3-2 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
2
Eller
Domi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Domi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
49.7% (499)
+3.1%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
56.8% (44)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
0.0% (1)
+45.5%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Eller shoots left. Domi is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Eller
Domi
Home
52.6% (340)
51.0% (298)
Away
51.8% (411)
49.2% (246)
By Period
Eller
Domi
P1
52.4%
54.8%
P2
54.1%
48.9%
P3
50.0%
46.4%
Final 5 min
50.3%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
52.2%
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 09:42 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 13:41 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:58 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Lars Eller |