Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Domi 50.6% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 67.7%
Defensive zone
Domi 61.8%
Neutral zone
Domi 64.6%
Result
Max Domi favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Eller
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Eller
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Eller
Domi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Eller
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
49.8% (297)
+6.2%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
60.0% (30)
+17.8%
On power play, Eller has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Eller shoots left. Domi is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Eller
Domi
Home
52.6% (215)
51.1% (184)
Away
58.3% (307)
50.3% (143)
By Period
Eller
Domi
P1
54.1%
45.9%
P2
57.6%
51.8%
P3
56.2%
55.1%
Final 5 min
60.0%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 18:56 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Max Domi |