Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.1% vs 48.0%). Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 47.4% vs Kadri 48.1% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 50.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 50.4%
Neutral zone
Kadri 51.3%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Eller
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Eller
Kadri
Last 7: Eller 5-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Kadri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (701)
47.9% (1,051)
+1.0%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
50.0% (66)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (174)
47.1% (17)
-8.0%
On power play, Eller has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Eller is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Eller shoots left. Kadri is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (726).
Home / Away
Eller
Kadri
Home
47.5% (421)
50.3% (576)
Away
46.8% (462)
45.5% (558)
By Period
Eller
Kadri
P1
47.8%
49.9%
P2
47.3%
48.1%
P3
46.1%
46.2%
OT
66.7%
41.2%
Final 5 min
45.0%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
47.1%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 11:21 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 02:57 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 18:15 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 18:06 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Lars Eller |