Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 26 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Kadri 48.6% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 51-42 in 93 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 63.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 73.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 57.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Eller
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
51
-
42
(93 meetings)
51
42
Eller
Kadri
Last 10: Eller 5-5 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
15
21
Eller
Kadri
36 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
20
6
Eller
Kadri
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
16
15
Eller
Kadri
31 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,321)
48.1% (12,555)
+3.0%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
53.0% (1,892)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (1,759)
41.0% (293)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Eller shoots left. Kadri is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,402).
Home / Away
Eller
Kadri
Home
51.4% (6,122)
49.1% (7,493)
Away
49.7% (6,607)
48.1% (7,250)
By Period
Eller
Kadri
P1
51.2%
49.1%
P2
50.1%
48.7%
P3
50.2%
47.9%
OT
56.7%
49.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:45 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:30 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:00 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:30 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:47 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 07:46 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 02:32 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 13:21 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 06:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 06:31 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 11:48 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |