Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Kadri 46.9% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 73.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 76.4%
Neutral zone
Kadri 54.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Eller
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Eller
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
46.5% (866)
+9.5%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
48.8% (86)
+29.0%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
38.5% (13)
+13.4%
On power play, Eller has a +29.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Eller shoots left. Kadri is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Eller
Kadri
Home
52.6% (215)
45.8% (513)
Away
58.3% (307)
47.6% (452)
By Period
Eller
Kadri
P1
54.1%
52.4%
P2
57.6%
48.5%
P3
56.2%
39.7%
Final 5 min
60.0%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Lars Eller |