Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Foligno 49.9% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 54.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 63.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 56.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Eller
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Eller
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
49.5% (291)
+6.5%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
55.8% (43)
+22.0%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
47.2% (53)
+4.7%
On power play, Eller has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Eller shoots left. Foligno is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Eller
Foligno
Home
52.6% (215)
48.9% (178)
Away
58.3% (307)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Eller
Foligno
P1
54.1%
43.0%
P2
57.6%
55.9%
P3
56.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | Lars Eller |