Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Foligno 48.6% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 76.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 59.8%
Neutral zone
Foligno 57.3%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Eller
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
15
(26 meetings)
11
15
Eller
Foligno
Last 10: Eller 3-7 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
12
Eller
Foligno
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Foligno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
9
2
Eller
Foligno
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,321)
48.3% (2,840)
+2.8%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
52.3% (731)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (1,759)
44.0% (457)
+2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Eller shoots left. Foligno is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,512).
Home / Away
Eller
Foligno
Home
51.4% (6,122)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
49.7% (6,607)
47.2% (2,017)
By Period
Eller
Foligno
P1
51.2%
47.8%
P2
50.1%
50.5%
P3
50.2%
48.2%
OT
56.7%
29.7%
Final 5 min
49.7%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 2 | 03:41 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 1 | 09:35 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 05:52 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 08:33 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 9, 2018 | 1 | 05:09 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 05:42 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 16:58 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 11:14 | Neutral | Lars Eller |