Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+9.7%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 80.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 76.7%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 55.5%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Eller
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
45.9% (697)
+10.1%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
47.9% (117)
+29.9%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
48.0% (25)
+3.9%
On power play, Eller has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Eller is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Eller shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Eller
Schmaltz
Home
52.6% (215)
44.9% (434)
Away
58.3% (307)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Eller
Schmaltz
P1
54.1%
41.5%
P2
57.6%
46.7%
P3
56.2%
51.1%
Final 5 min
60.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%