Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Schmaltz 42.4% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 69.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 98.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 94.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 93.3%
93.3%
6.7%
Eller
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
Eller
Schmaltz
Last 10: Eller 8-2 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
6
2
Eller
Schmaltz
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
5
2
Eller
Schmaltz
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (10,168)
41.1% (3,218)
+9.9%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
47.3% (637)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,740)
47.2% (125)
-0.5%
On even strength, Eller has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Eller is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,547).
Eller shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,877).
Home / Away
Eller
Schmaltz
Home
51.4% (6,057)
42.7% (1,978)
Away
49.7% (6,500)
41.8% (2,002)
By Period
Eller
Schmaltz
P1
51.2%
41.1%
P2
50.0%
42.6%
P3
50.2%
43.0%
OT
56.7%
42.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
50.5%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:46 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2019 | OT | 02:14 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 1 | 02:17 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 16:39 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 19:58 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 10:03 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 2 | 09:21 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Lars Eller |