Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Eller wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Suzuki 50.6% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 57.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 85.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 63.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Eller
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
2
(12 meetings)
10
2
Eller
Suzuki
Last 10: Eller 8-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Eller
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
9
0
Eller
Suzuki
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
51.3% (945)
+4.7%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
50.7% (282)
+27.1%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
40.3% (67)
+11.6%
On power play, Eller has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Eller is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Eller shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Eller
Suzuki
Home
52.6% (215)
51.0% (637)
Away
58.3% (307)
50.2% (657)
By Period
Eller
Suzuki
P1
54.1%
53.1%
P2
57.6%
47.4%
P3
56.2%
51.3%
Final 5 min
60.0%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 10:14 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 00:30 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 16:12 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Lars Eller |