Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Suzuki 49.4% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 30-28 in 58 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 66.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 69.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Eller
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
28
(58 meetings)
30
28
Eller
Suzuki
Last 10: Eller 8-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
18
Eller
Suzuki
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
20
4
Eller
Suzuki
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
8
6
Eller
Suzuki
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,321)
49.4% (6,368)
+1.7%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
50.8% (1,355)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (1,759)
44.0% (466)
+2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,587).
Eller shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,968).
Home / Away
Eller
Suzuki
Home
51.4% (6,122)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
49.7% (6,607)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Eller
Suzuki
P1
51.2%
48.9%
P2
50.1%
49.1%
P3
50.2%
50.3%
OT
56.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 10:14 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 00:30 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 16:12 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 06:28 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 03:38 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |