Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Sturm 53.6% (+1.3%)
Offensive zone
Eller 55.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 60.0%
Neutral zone
Sturm 52.0%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Eller
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
54.6% (271)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
54.4% (90)
-2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Eller shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Eller
Sturm
Home
52.6% (215)
53.0% (168)
Away
58.3% (307)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Eller
Sturm
P1
54.1%
58.2%
P2
57.6%
53.2%
P3
56.2%
52.3%
Final 5 min
60.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%