Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Dubois 49.7% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 81.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 76.3%
Neutral zone
Dubois 55.9%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Eller
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Eller
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Eller
Dubois
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Dubois
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
49.3% (842)
+3.5%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
57.1% (35)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
55.6% (9)
-9.4%
On power play, Eller has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Eller shoots left. Dubois is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Eller
Dubois
Home
54.5% (448)
51.0% (445)
Away
50.2% (484)
48.3% (441)
By Period
Eller
Dubois
P1
52.8%
50.3%
P2
50.9%
49.5%
P3
53.4%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.6%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
52.3%
Dubois
42.0%▼
47.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 14:14 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |