Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Eller wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Dubois 48.9% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 61.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 64.9%
Neutral zone
Dubois 50.3%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Eller
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Eller
Dubois
Last 6: Eller 3-3 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
3
Eller
Dubois
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
44.8% (259)
+11.2%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
70.6% (34)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
75.0% (8)
-23.1%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Eller shoots left. Dubois is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Home / Away
Eller
Dubois
Home
52.6% (215)
46.6% (163)
Away
58.3% (307)
50.7% (138)
By Period
Eller
Dubois
P1
54.1%
44.0%
P2
57.6%
51.5%
P3
56.2%
49.5%
Final 5 min
60.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Dubois
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 03:32 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 05:52 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 02:49 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 03:11 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |