Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Hartman 48.1% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 54.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 51.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 52.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Eller
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Eller
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Eller
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
48.1% (520)
+4.7%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
44.7% (47)
+24.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
47.8% (23)
-2.3%
On power play, Eller has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Eller is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Eller shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Eller
Hartman
Home
52.6% (340)
48.3% (360)
Away
51.8% (411)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Eller
Hartman
P1
52.4%
48.5%
P2
54.1%
45.2%
P3
50.0%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
52.2%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 19:51 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 18:52 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |