Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Hartman 45.4% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 56.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 77.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 68.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Eller
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Eller
Hartman
Last 10: Eller 7-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
1
Eller
Hartman
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
6
7
Eller
Hartman
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
4
3
Eller
Hartman
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,321)
45.2% (4,279)
+5.9%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
47.3% (446)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (1,759)
42.4% (262)
+4.2%
On even strength, Eller has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,587).
Eller shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,596).
Home / Away
Eller
Hartman
Home
51.4% (6,122)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
49.7% (6,607)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
Eller
Hartman
P1
51.2%
46.1%
P2
50.1%
42.9%
P3
50.2%
46.7%
OT
56.7%
53.8%
Final 5 min
49.7%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 19:51 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 18:52 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 08:43 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 09:42 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 16:02 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 04:34 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 15:34 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 13:47 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |