Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs McLeod 47.4% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 70.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 69.6%
Neutral zone
McLeod 71.8%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 71.8%
28.2%
71.8%
Eller
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Eller
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Eller
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
49.0% (827)
+7.0%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
44.0% (91)
+33.8%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
43.0% (272)
+8.9%
On power play, Eller has a +33.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Eller shoots left. McLeod is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Eller
McLeod
Home
52.6% (215)
48.5% (619)
Away
58.3% (307)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Eller
McLeod
P1
54.1%
52.7%
P2
57.6%
43.9%
P3
56.2%
45.8%
Final 5 min
60.0%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:44 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 06:46 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |