Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs McLeod 49.5% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 59.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 58.0%
Neutral zone
McLeod 59.9%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Eller
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Eller
McLeod
Last 10: Eller 2-8 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
4
Eller
McLeod
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
5
6
Eller
McLeod
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,321)
50.4% (3,376)
+0.7%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
50.7% (296)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (1,759)
44.1% (644)
+2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Eller shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
Home / Away
Eller
McLeod
Home
51.4% (6,122)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
49.7% (6,607)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Eller
McLeod
P1
51.2%
50.8%
P2
50.1%
48.0%
P3
50.2%
50.0%
OT
56.7%
37.1%
Final 5 min
49.7%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:44 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 06:46 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 14:03 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 11:18 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1 | 17:28 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:57 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 01:25 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:26 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 14:36 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 13:32 | Neutral | Lars Eller |