Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Poehling 47.9% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 59.5%
Defensive zone
Poehling 65.3%
Neutral zone
Poehling 64.8%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Eller
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Eller
Poehling
Last 5: Eller 1-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Eller
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Eller
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
50.5% (666)
+5.5%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
58.3% (12)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
38.6% (215)
+13.3%
On power play, Eller has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Eller shoots left. Poehling is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Home / Away
Eller
Poehling
Home
52.6% (215)
47.3% (404)
Away
58.3% (307)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Eller
Poehling
P1
54.1%
53.5%
P2
57.6%
40.1%
P3
56.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Poehling
58.0%▲
52.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 04:45 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 01:36 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |