Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Poehling 48.2% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Poehling leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Poehling 57.5%
Defensive zone
Poehling 59.3%
Neutral zone
Poehling 59.2%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Eller
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
15
(24 meetings)
9
15
Eller
Poehling
Last 10: Eller 4-6 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
5
Eller
Poehling
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Eller
Poehling
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
3
6
Eller
Poehling
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,321)
49.6% (2,766)
+1.5%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
51.6% (93)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (1,759)
41.7% (631)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Eller shoots left. Poehling is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,340).
Home / Away
Eller
Poehling
Home
51.4% (6,122)
49.3% (1,688)
Away
49.7% (6,607)
47.2% (1,802)
By Period
Eller
Poehling
P1
51.2%
50.9%
P2
50.1%
47.1%
P3
50.2%
47.1%
OT
56.7%
37.9%
Final 5 min
49.7%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Poehling
58.0%▲
52.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 04:45 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 01:36 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 14:31 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 1 | 01:46 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 19:05 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 02:22 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 08:51 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |