Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Eller wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Couturier 53.6% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 54.6%
Defensive zone
Couturier 59.2%
Neutral zone
Couturier 52.0%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Eller
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Eller
Couturier
Last 5: Eller 4-1 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
1
Eller
Couturier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
53.9% (792)
+2.1%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
62.9% (70)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
51.3% (234)
+0.6%
On power play, Eller has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Eller shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Eller
Couturier
Home
52.6% (215)
51.4% (541)
Away
58.3% (307)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Eller
Couturier
P1
54.1%
56.0%
P2
57.6%
52.6%
P3
56.2%
54.3%
Final 5 min
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 02:00 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | Lars Eller |