Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 53 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Couturier 52.6% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 75-67 in 142 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 53.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 60.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 59.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Eller
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
67
-
75
(142 meetings)
67
75
Eller
Couturier
Last 10: Eller 5-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
22
31
Eller
Couturier
53 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
24
20
Eller
Couturier
44 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
21
24
Eller
Couturier
45 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,321)
52.5% (11,097)
-1.4%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
59.7% (1,280)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (1,759)
48.5% (1,823)
-1.9%
On power play, Couturier has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Eller shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,936).
Home / Away
Eller
Couturier
Home
51.4% (6,122)
53.4% (7,171)
Away
49.7% (6,607)
51.8% (7,036)
By Period
Eller
Couturier
P1
51.2%
52.6%
P2
50.1%
52.6%
P3
50.2%
52.9%
OT
56.7%
49.6%
Final 5 min
49.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 02:00 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 14:28 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 11:31 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 04:17 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 02:34 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 02:09 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 19:39 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 07:01 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |