Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Monahan 52.5% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 55.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 74.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Eller
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Eller
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
53.0% (874)
+3.0%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
54.7% (161)
+23.1%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
47.5% (101)
+4.4%
On power play, Eller has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Eller shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Eller
Monahan
Home
52.6% (215)
53.8% (558)
Away
58.3% (307)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Eller
Monahan
P1
54.1%
49.5%
P2
57.6%
54.8%
P3
56.2%
52.8%
Final 5 min
60.0%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 14:36 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:42 | Neutral | Lars Eller |