Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.2%). Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Monahan 51.2% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 30-25 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 73.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 66.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 52.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Eller
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
25
(55 meetings)
30
25
Eller
Monahan
Last 10: Eller 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
5
12
Eller
Monahan
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
16
4
Eller
Monahan
20 total
Neutral Zone
Even
9
9
Eller
Monahan
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,321)
51.1% (11,407)
+0.0%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
53.6% (2,582)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (1,759)
45.9% (772)
+0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Eller shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Eller
Monahan
Home
51.4% (6,122)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
49.7% (6,607)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Eller
Monahan
P1
51.2%
51.0%
P2
50.1%
51.7%
P3
50.2%
51.0%
OT
56.7%
53.5%
Final 5 min
49.7%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 14:36 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:42 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 10:20 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 04:23 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 27, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:00 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 15:53 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 12:54 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:10 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 09:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |