Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Eller wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Aho 51.2% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 81.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 75.6%
Neutral zone
Aho 53.4%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Eller
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Eller
Aho
Last 10: Eller 3-7 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
9
Eller
Aho
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
6
1
Eller
Aho
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
48.5% (778)
+5.3%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
63.4% (191)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
50.8% (65)
+1.8%
On power play, Aho has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Eller shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Eller
Aho
Home
56.4% (486)
51.3% (530)
Away
51.2% (537)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Eller
Aho
P1
55.1%
50.0%
P2
55.3%
51.3%
P3
51.7%
52.1%
OT
27.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
53.7%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 13:36 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 01:31 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 31, 2022 | OT | 01:31 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 3 | 18:05 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |