Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.3%). Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Aho 51.3% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 33-27 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 80.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 67.9%
Neutral zone
Aho 51.2%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Eller
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
27
(60 meetings)
33
27
Eller
Aho
Last 10: Eller 5-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
21
Eller
Aho
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
21
5
Eller
Aho
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
9
1
Eller
Aho
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,321)
50.2% (6,646)
+0.9%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
58.9% (1,310)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (1,759)
46.5% (465)
+0.1%
On power play, Aho has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Eller shoots left. Aho is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,317).
Home / Away
Eller
Aho
Home
51.4% (6,122)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
49.7% (6,607)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Eller
Aho
P1
51.2%
51.1%
P2
50.1%
52.1%
P3
50.2%
50.8%
OT
56.7%
48.9%
Final 5 min
49.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 08:04 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 07:58 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 14:26 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 13, 2024 | OT | 00:22 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 13:21 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 01:20 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 13:36 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 01:31 | Offensive | Lars Eller |