Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Lorentz 49.5% (+6.9%)
Offensive zone
Eller 53.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 51.5%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 54.8%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Eller
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
51.4% (74)
+4.6%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
50.0% (2)
+27.8%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
42.3% (26)
+9.6%
On power play, Eller has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Eller shoots left. Lorentz is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Eller
Lorentz
Home
52.6% (215)
52.9% (68)
Away
58.3% (307)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Eller
Lorentz
P1
54.1%
58.6%
P2
57.6%
45.0%
P3
56.2%
45.5%
Final 5 min
60.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
49.0%