Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Nosek 58.0% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 82.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 53.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 56.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Eller
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Eller
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Eller
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
59.7% (469)
-5.9%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
100.0% (4)
-42.9%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
56.5% (124)
-3.9%
On power play, Nosek has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Eller shoots left. Nosek is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Eller
Nosek
Home
56.4% (486)
59.0% (295)
Away
51.2% (537)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Eller
Nosek
P1
55.1%
56.3%
P2
55.3%
61.9%
P3
51.7%
59.2%
OT
27.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
53.7%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 16:17 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |