Lars Eller vs Tomas Nosek

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Lars Eller holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Eller 55.0% vs Nosek 48.5% (+8.5%)
Offensive zone Eller 50.3%
Defensive zone Eller 53.8%
Neutral zone Nosek 51.8%
Result Lars Eller favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Eller Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Eller
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
52.0% (102)
+4.0%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
100.0% (2)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
29.0% (31)
+22.9%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +22.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Eller shoots left. Nosek is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Eller
Nosek
Home
52.6% (215)
52.0% (50)
Away
58.3% (307)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Eller
Nosek
P1
54.1%
45.0%
P2
57.6%
42.0%
P3
56.2%
55.6%
Final 5 min
60.0%
43.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%
51.5%
55.9%
Nosek
56.0%
50.0%
47.4%