Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Gourde 48.2% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 15-3 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 62.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 79.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 69.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Eller
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
3
(18 meetings)
15
3
Eller
Gourde
Last 10: Eller 7-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
6
1
Eller
Gourde
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
2
Eller
Gourde
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
5
0
Eller
Gourde
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,321)
48.4% (4,987)
+2.7%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
57.4% (376)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (1,759)
40.0% (555)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Eller shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,967).
Home / Away
Eller
Gourde
Home
51.4% (6,122)
49.3% (2,949)
Away
49.7% (6,607)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Eller
Gourde
P1
51.2%
49.8%
P2
50.1%
47.5%
P3
50.2%
47.5%
OT
56.7%
37.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:51 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 17:52 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 09:39 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 09:19 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 05:01 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 17:33 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 03:31 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 01:50 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Lars Eller |